Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
48% / 28% / 23%Esito partitaVittoria casa48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Apoel Nicosia win (23.5%)Doppia Chance1X76.5%1.31
Sopra 47% · Sotto 53%Goals 2.5Sotto53%1.89
Sì 48% · No 52%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
AEK Larnaca win48%2.08
Pareggio28%3.57
Apoel Nicosia win23%4.35
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 65.5%
Total expected goals2.55Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 47% · Sotto 53%
Trasferta share of expected goals 34.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSì 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchAEK Larnaca
WLLWL
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6
SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchApoel Nicosia
DWDLL
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5
SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
48%
Vinta probability excluding draw
23%6
Points from supplied form
51.67
Expected goals
0.88AEK LarnacaApoel Nicosia
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
AEK Larnaca vinta 48%，Pareggio 28%，Apoel Nicosia vinta 23%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.55 · Sopra 2.5 47% · Current selection Sotto。