Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
31% / 27% / 42%Match resultAway win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.9%)Double chance1273.1%1.37
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.15 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.3%Largest probability gapCD Alaves winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Alaves win31%3.233.1030.6%+0.4 pp
Draw27%3.703.5027.1%-0.1 pp
Villarreal win42%2.382.2542.2%-0.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 46%
Total expected goals3.15Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%
Away share of expected goals 54%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchCD Alaves
DWWWD
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchVillarreal
DDWLW
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
31%
Win probability excluding draw
42%11
Points from supplied form
81.45
Expected goals
1.70CD AlavesVillarreal
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
CD Alaves vs Villarreal FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
CD Alaves win 31%，Draw 27%，Villarreal win 42%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.15 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over。