MatchFormula Spiel finden
Menu
UTC+8
ZeitzoneAsia/Shanghai
Deutsch
ESP Spanien - La Liga · Spiel ·

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg34%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg38%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg38% selection probability
Projected score1–2SevillaAtletico Madrid
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über56% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
34% / 28% / 38%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Doppelte Chance1272.1%1.39
Über 56% · Unter 44%Goals 2.5Über56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nein 41%Beide Teams treffenJa59%1.69
2.92 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
9.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Sevilla win34%2.94
Unentschieden28%3.57
Atletico Madrid win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sevilla1.40

Heim share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 56% · Unter 44%

Atletico Madrid1.52

Auswärts share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 59% · Nein 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Sevilla

3.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkte15

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Atletico Madrid

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
38%
15
Points from supplied form
10
1.40
Expected goals
1.52
SevillaAtletico Madrid
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sevilla signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Madrid signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sevilla Gewinn 34%,Unentschieden 28%,Atletico Madrid Gewinn 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Über 2.5 56% · Current selection Über