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ESP Spanje - Primera División · Wedstrijd ·

Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst34%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst38%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–2SevillaAtlético Madrid
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
34% / 28% / 38%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Dubbele Kans1272.1%1.39
Boven 56% · Onder 44%Goals 2.5Boven56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nee 41%Beide teams scorenJa59%1.69
2.92 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Sevilla win34%2.94
Gelijkspel28%3.57
Atlético Madrid win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sevilla1.40

Thuis share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 56% · Onder 44%

Atlético Madrid1.52

Uit share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 59% · Nee 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Sevilla

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Atlético Madrid

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
38%
15
Points from supplied form
10
1.40
Expected goals
1.52
SevillaAtlético Madrid
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sevilla signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atlético Madrid signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sevilla gewonnen 34%,Gelijkspel 28%,Atlético Madrid gewonnen 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Boven 2.5 56% · Current selection Boven