Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
79% / 15% / 7%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst79%1.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Malaga win (6.6%)Dubbele Kans1X93.4%1.07
Boven 54% · Onder 46%Goals 2.5Boven54%1.85
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenNee50%2.00
2.81 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin7.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Madrid win79%1.271.1481.3%—
Gelijkspel15%6.677.0013.2%—
Malaga win7%14.2917.005.5%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 73.7%
Total expected goals2.81Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 54% · Onder 46%
Uit share of expected goals 26.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchReal Madrid
WWWWL
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12
SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchMalaga
DLLWD
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5
SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
79%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
7%12
Points from supplied form
52.07
Expected goals
0.74Real MadridMalaga
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 15%.
Match questions
Real Madrid vs Malaga FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 79% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Real Madrid gewonnen 79%，Gelijkspel 15%，Malaga gewonnen 7%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.81 · Boven 2.5 54% · Current selection Boven。