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Real Madrid vs マラガ

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.81 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利79%
引き分け15%
アウェイ勝利7%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 79% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利79% selection probability
Projected score2–1Real Madridマラガ
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
79% / 15% / 7%試合結果ホーム勝利79%1.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes マラガ win (6.6%)ダブルチャンス1X93.4%1.07
オーバー 54% · アンダー 46%Goals 2.5オーバー54%1.85
はい 50% · いいえ 50%両チーム得点いいえ50%2.00
2.81 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Madrid win79%1.271.1481.3%
引き分け15%6.677.0013.2%
マラガ win7%14.2917.005.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Madrid2.07

ホーム share of expected goals 73.7%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 54% · アンダー 46%

マラガ0.74

アウェイ share of expected goals 26.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 50% · いいえ 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

Real Madrid

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

マラガ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
79%
勝ち probability excluding draw
7%
12
Points from supplied form
5
2.07
Expected goals
0.74
Real Madridマラガ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Madrid signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02マラガ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk21% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Real Madrid vs マラガ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 79% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Madrid 勝ち 79%,引き分け 15%,マラガ 勝ち 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · オーバー 2.5 54% · Current selection オーバー