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ESP 西班牙甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

皇家馬德里 vs 馬拉加

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.81 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝79%
15%
客勝7%
Market-based forecast主勝Tier B · 79% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝79% selection probability
Projected score2–1皇家馬德里馬拉加
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.554% for the selected side
雙方進球50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
79% / 15% / 7%比賽結果主勝79%1.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 馬拉加 win (6.6%)雙重機會1X93.4%1.07
大 54% · 小 46%Goals 2.554%1.85
是 50% · 否 50%雙方進球50%2.00
2.81 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.7 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claim
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
皇家馬德里 win79%1.271.1481.3%
15%6.677.0013.2%
馬拉加 win7%14.2917.005.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

皇家馬德里2.07

主隊 share of expected goals 73.7%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 54% · 46%

馬拉加0.74

客隊 share of expected goals 26.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 50% · 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

皇家馬德里

2.40pts / match
5Wins4Drawn0Losses1積分12

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

馬拉加

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
79%
贏 probability excluding draw
7%
12
Points from supplied form
5
2.07
Expected goals
0.74
皇家馬德里馬拉加
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01皇家馬德里 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02馬拉加 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk21% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

皇家馬德里 vs 馬拉加 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 79% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

皇家馬德里 79%, 15%,馬拉加 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · 大2.5 54% · Current selection