MatchFormula Trouver un match
Menu
UTC+8
Fuseau horaireAsia/Shanghai
Français
ESP Espagne - La Liga · Match ·

Real Madrid vs Malaga

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.81 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile79%
Nul15%
Victoire à l’extérieur7%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 79% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile79% selection probability
Projected score2–1Real MadridMalaga
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
79% / 15% / 7%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile79%1.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Malaga win (6.6%)Double chance1X93.4%1.07
Plus de 54% · Moins de 46%Goals 2.5Plus de54%1.85
Oui 50% · Non 50%Les deux équipes marquentNon50%2.00
2.81 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Madrid win79%1.271.1481.3%
Nul15%6.677.0013.2%
Malaga win7%14.2917.005.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Madrid2.07

Domicile share of expected goals 73.7%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 54% · Moins de 46%

Malaga0.74

Extérieur share of expected goals 26.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 50% · Non 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Real Madrid

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Malaga

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
79%
Gagné probability excluding draw
7%
12
Points from supplied form
5
2.07
Expected goals
0.74
Real MadridMalaga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Madrid signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Malaga signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk21% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Real Madrid vs Malaga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 79% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Madrid victoire 79%,Nul 15%,Malaga victoire 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · Plus de 2.5 54% · Current selection Plus de