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Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng34%
Hòa28%
Đội khách thắng38%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng38% selection probability
Projected score1–2SevillaAtletico Madrid
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài56% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
34% / 28% / 38%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Cơ hội kép1272.1%1.39
Tài 56% · Xỉu 44%Goals 2.5Tài56%1.79
Có 59% · Không 41%Cả hai đội ghi bàn59%1.69
2.92 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–2
9.5 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
Sevilla win34%2.94
Hòa28%3.57
Atletico Madrid win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sevilla1.40

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 47.9%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 56% · Xỉu 44%

Atletico Madrid1.52

Khách share of expected goals 52.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 59% · Không 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Sevilla

3.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Điểm15

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Atletico Madrid

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Thắng probability excluding draw
38%
15
Points from supplied form
10
1.40
Expected goals
1.52
SevillaAtletico Madrid
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sevilla signalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Madrid signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sevilla thắng 34%,Hòa 28%,Atletico Madrid thắng 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Tài 2.5 56% · Current selection Tài