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ESP Španělsko - La Liga · Zápas ·

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích54%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostů21%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Celta VigoAthletic Bilbao
Expected goals3.11Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více60% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
54% / 25% / 21%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Bilbao win (21.2%)Dvojitá šance1X78.8%1.27
Více 60% · Méně 40%Goals 2.5Více60%1.67
Ano 55% · Ne 45%Oba týmy skórujíAno55%1.82
3.11 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
9.0 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Celta Vigo win54%1.85
Remíza25%4.00
Athletic Bilbao win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Celta Vigo2.13

Domácí share of expected goals 68.5%

Total expected goals3.11Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 60% · Méně 40%

Athletic Bilbao0.98

Hosté share of expected goals 31.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 55% · Ne 45%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Celta Vigo

1.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Body9

SignalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Athletic Bilbao

2.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Výhra probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
10
2.13
Expected goals
0.98
Celta VigoAthletic Bilbao
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Celta Vigo signalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athletic Bilbao signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Celta Vigo výhra 54%,Remíza 25%,Athletic Bilbao výhra 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Více 2.5 60% · Current selection Více