Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 25% / 21%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Club win (21.2%)Double chance1X78.8%1.27
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
3.11 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Celta Vigo win54%1.85
Draw25%4.00
Athletic Club win21%4.76
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 68.5%
Total expected goals3.11Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%
Away share of expected goals 31.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchCelta Vigo
DWDWD
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchAthletic Club
LWDWW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
54%
Win probability excluding draw
21%9
Points from supplied form
102.13
Expected goals
0.98Celta VigoAthletic Club
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Celta Vigo win 54%，Draw 25%，Athletic Club win 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.11 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over。