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ESP Hiszpania - La Liga · Mecz ·

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy54%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości21%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Celta VigoAthletic Bilbao
Expected goals3.11Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej60% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
54% / 25% / 21%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Bilbao win (21.2%)Podwójna szansa1X78.8%1.27
Powyżej 60% · Poniżej 40%Goals 2.5Powyżej60%1.67
Tak 55% · Nie 45%Obie drużyny strzeląTak55%1.82
3.11 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.0 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Celta Vigo win54%1.85
Remis25%4.00
Athletic Bilbao win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Celta Vigo2.13

Gospodarze share of expected goals 68.5%

Total expected goals3.11Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 60% · Poniżej 40%

Athletic Bilbao0.98

Goście share of expected goals 31.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 55% · Nie 45%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Celta Vigo

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkty9

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Athletic Bilbao

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
10
2.13
Expected goals
0.98
Celta VigoAthletic Bilbao
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Celta Vigo signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athletic Bilbao signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Celta Vigo wygrana 54%,Remis 25%,Athletic Bilbao wygrana 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Powyżej 2.5 60% · Current selection Powyżej