Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
54% / 25% / 21%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Bilbao win (21.2%)Dubbele Kans1X78.8%1.27
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 55% · Nee 45%Beide teams scorenJa55%1.82
3.11 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
9.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Celta de Vigo win54%1.85
Gelijkspel25%4.00
Athletic Bilbao win21%4.76
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 68.5%
Total expected goals3.11Openen
Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%
Uit share of expected goals 31.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nee 45%Match profileOpenen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchCelta de Vigo
DWDWD
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9
SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5
Uit-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchAthletic Bilbao
LWDWW
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10
SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
54%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
21%9
Points from supplied form
102.13
Expected goals
0.98Celta de VigoAthletic Bilbao
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Celta de Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Celta de Vigo gewonnen 54%，Gelijkspel 25%，Athletic Bilbao gewonnen 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.11 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven。