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ESP Испания - Ла Лига · Матч ·

Сельта Виго vs Атлетик Бильбао

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев54%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей21%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Сельта ВигоАтлетик Бильбао
Expected goals3.11Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше60% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
54% / 25% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Атлетик Бильбао win (21.2%)Двойной шанс1X78.8%1.27
Больше 60% · Меньше 40%Goals 2.5Больше60%1.67
Да 55% · Нет 45%Обе забьютДа55%1.82
3.11 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.0 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Сельта Виго win54%1.85
Ничья25%4.00
Атлетик Бильбао win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сельта Виго2.13

Хозяева share of expected goals 68.5%

Total expected goals3.11Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 60% · Меньше 40%

Атлетик Бильбао0.98

Гости share of expected goals 31.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 55% · Нет 45%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сельта Виго

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Атлетик Бильбао

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
10
2.13
Expected goals
0.98
Сельта ВигоАтлетик Бильбао
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сельта Виго signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Атлетик Бильбао signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Сельта Виго vs Атлетик Бильбао FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сельта Виго выигрыш 54%,Ничья 25%,Атлетик Бильбао выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · ТБ 2.5 60% · Current selection Больше