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ESP Испания - Ла Лига · Матч ·

Осасуна vs Хетафе

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.58 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев39%
Ничья35%
Победа гостей26%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев39% selection probability
Projected score1–1ОсасунаХетафе
Expected goals1.58Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше79% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
39% / 35% / 26%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Хетафе win (25.7%)Двойной шанс1X74.3%1.35
Больше 21% · Меньше 79%Goals 2.5Меньше79%1.27
Да 29% · Нет 71%Обе забьютНет71%1.41
1.58 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Осасуна win39%2.56
Ничья35%2.86
Хетафе win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Осасуна0.96

Хозяева share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals1.58Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 21% · Меньше 79%

Хетафе0.62

Гости share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 29% · Нет 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Осасуна

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Хетафе

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
9
0.96
Expected goals
0.62
ОсасунаХетафе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Осасуна signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Хетафе signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Осасуна vs Хетафе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Осасуна выигрыш 39%,Ничья 35%,Хетафе выигрыш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.58 · ТБ 2.5 21% · Current selection Меньше