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ESP Испания - Ла Лига · Матч ·

Барселона vs Райо Вальекано

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score3–13.18 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев67%
Ничья21%
Победа гостей12%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев67% selection probability
Projected score3–1БарселонаРайо Вальекано
Expected goals3.18Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
67% / 21% / 12%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Райо Вальекано win (12.4%)Двойной шанс1X87.6%1.14
Больше 62% · Меньше 38%Goals 2.5Больше62%1.61
Да 43% · Нет 57%Обе забьютНет57%1.75
3.18 total expected goalsТочный счёт3–1
10.3 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Барселона win67%1.49
Ничья21%4.76
Райо Вальекано win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Барселона2.56

Хозяева share of expected goals 80.5%

Total expected goals3.18Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 62% · Меньше 38%

Райо Вальекано0.62

Гости share of expected goals 19.5%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 43% · Нет 57%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Барселона

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Райо Вальекано

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
12%
9
Points from supplied form
7
2.56
Expected goals
0.62
БарселонаРайо Вальекано
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Барселона signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Райо Вальекано signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Барселона vs Райо Вальекано FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Барселона выигрыш 67%,Ничья 21%,Райо Вальекано выигрыш 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · ТБ 2.5 62% · Current selection Больше