Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
67% / 21% / 12%Esito partitaVittoria casa67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Rayo Vallecano win (12.4%)Doppia Chance1X87.6%1.14
Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%Goals 2.5Sopra62%1.61
Sì 43% · No 57%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo57%1.75
3.18 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–1——
10.3 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Barcellona win67%1.49
Pareggio21%4.76
Rayo Vallecano win12%8.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 80.5%
Total expected goals3.18Apertura
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 62% · Sotto 38%
Trasferta share of expected goals 19.5%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitSì 43% · No 57%Match profileApertura
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchBarcellona
WLWLW
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9
SignalCasa won 3/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchRayo Vallecano
DLWLW
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7
SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
67%
Vinta probability excluding draw
12%9
Points from supplied form
72.56
Expected goals
0.62BarcellonaRayo Vallecano
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 21%.
Match questions
Barcellona vs Rayo Vallecano FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Barcellona vinta 67%，Pareggio 21%，Rayo Vallecano vinta 12%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.18 · Sopra 2.5 62% · Current selection Sopra。