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ESP Spagna - La Liga · Partita ·

Osasuna vs Getafe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.58 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa39%
Pareggio35%
Vittoria ospite26%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa39% selection probability
Projected score1–1OsasunaGetafe
Expected goals1.58Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto79% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
39% / 35% / 26%Esito partitaVittoria casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Getafe win (25.7%)Doppia Chance1X74.3%1.35
Sopra 21% · Sotto 79%Goals 2.5Sotto79%1.27
Sì 29% · No 71%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo71%1.41
1.58 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Osasuna win39%2.56
Pareggio35%2.86
Getafe win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Osasuna0.96

Casa share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals1.58Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 21% · Sotto 79%

Getafe0.62

Trasferta share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 29% · No 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Osasuna

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Getafe

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vinta probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
9
0.96
Expected goals
0.62
OsasunaGetafe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Osasuna signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Getafe signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Osasuna vs Getafe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Osasuna vinta 39%,Pareggio 35%,Getafe vinta 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.58 · Sopra 2.5 21% · Current selection Sotto