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オサスナ vs ヘタフェ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.58 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利39%
引き分け35%
アウェイ勝利26%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利39% selection probability
Projected score1–1オサスナヘタフェ
Expected goals1.58Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー79% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
39% / 35% / 26%試合結果ホーム勝利39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ヘタフェ win (25.7%)ダブルチャンス1X74.3%1.35
オーバー 21% · アンダー 79%Goals 2.5アンダー79%1.27
はい 29% · いいえ 71%両チーム得点いいえ71%1.41
1.58 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
オサスナ win39%2.56
引き分け35%2.86
ヘタフェ win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

オサスナ0.96

ホーム share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals1.58Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 21% · アンダー 79%

ヘタフェ0.62

アウェイ share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 29% · いいえ 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

オサスナ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ヘタフェ

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
勝ち probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
9
0.96
Expected goals
0.62
オサスナヘタフェ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01オサスナ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ヘタフェ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

オサスナ vs ヘタフェ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

オサスナ 勝ち 39%,引き分け 35%,ヘタフェ 勝ち 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.58 · オーバー 2.5 21% · Current selection アンダー