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Osasuna vs Getafe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.58 expected goals
Away form
Home win39%
Draw35%
Away win26%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1OsasunaGetafe
Expected goals1.58Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under79% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 35% / 26%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Getafe win (25.7%)Double chance1X74.3%1.35
Over 21% · Under 79%Goals 2.5Under79%1.27
Yes 29% · No 71%Both teams scoreNo71%1.41
1.58 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Osasuna win39%2.56
Draw35%2.86
Getafe win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Osasuna0.96

Home share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals1.58Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 21% · Under 79%

Getafe0.62

Away share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 29% · No 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Osasuna

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Getafe

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
9
0.96
Expected goals
0.62
OsasunaGetafe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Osasuna signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Getafe signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Osasuna vs Getafe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Osasuna win 39%,Draw 35%,Getafe win 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.58 · Over 2.5 21% · Current selection Under