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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Fixture ·

AC Oulu vs SJK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.83 expected goals
Away form
Home win35%
Draw28%
Away win37%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win37% selection probability
Projected score1–1AC OuluSJK
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 28% / 37%Match resultAway win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Double chance1271.8%1.39
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.83 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
AC Oulu win35%2.86
Draw28%3.57
SJK win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AC Oulu1.38

Home share of expected goals 48.8%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

SJK1.45

Away share of expected goals 51.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

AC Oulu

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

SJK

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.38
Expected goals
1.45
AC OuluSJK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AC Oulu signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SJK signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

AC Oulu vs SJK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AC Oulu win 35%,Draw 28%,SJK win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over