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BGR ブルガリア ファーストリーグ · 試合 ·

ドゥナフルセ vs ロコモティフ1929ソフィア

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–23.35 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利36%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利37%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利37% selection probability
Projected score2–2ドゥナフルセロコモティフ1929ソフィア
Expected goals3.35始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー65% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
36% / 26% / 37%試合結果アウェイ勝利37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)ダブルチャンス1273.5%1.36
オーバー 65% · アンダー 35%Goals 2.5オーバー65%1.54
はい 66% · いいえ 34%両チーム得点はい66%1.52
3.35 total expected goals正確なスコア2–2
9.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ドゥナフルセ win36%2.78
引き分け26%3.85
ロコモティフ1929ソフィア win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ドゥナフルセ1.65

ホーム share of expected goals 49.3%

Total expected goals3.35始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 65% · アンダー 35%

ロコモティフ1929ソフィア1.70

アウェイ share of expected goals 50.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitはい 66% · いいえ 34%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ドゥナフルセ

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ロコモティフ1929ソフィア

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
勝ち probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
2
1.65
Expected goals
1.70
ドゥナフルセロコモティフ1929ソフィア
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ドゥナフルセ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ロコモティフ1929ソフィア signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

ドゥナフルセ vs ロコモティフ1929ソフィア FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ドゥナフルセ 勝ち 36%,引き分け 26%,ロコモティフ1929ソフィア 勝ち 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · オーバー 2.5 65% · Current selection オーバー