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BGR Bulgarie - Parva liga · Match ·

Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.35 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile36%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur37%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur37% selection probability
Projected score2–2Dunav RuseLokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Expected goals3.35Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de65% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
36% / 26% / 37%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Double chance1273.5%1.36
Plus de 65% · Moins de 35%Goals 2.5Plus de65%1.54
Oui 66% · Non 34%Les deux équipes marquentOui66%1.52
3.35 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Dunav Ruse win36%2.78
Nul26%3.85
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dunav Ruse1.65

Domicile share of expected goals 49.3%

Total expected goals3.35Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 65% · Moins de 35%

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia1.70

Extérieur share of expected goals 50.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 66% · Non 34%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Dunav Ruse

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gagné probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
2
1.65
Expected goals
1.70
Dunav RuseLokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dunav Ruse signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dunav Ruse victoire 36%,Nul 26%,Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia victoire 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · Plus de 2.5 65% · Current selection Plus de