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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
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BGR Bulgária - 1. liga · Mérkőzés ·

Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–23.35 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem36%
Döntetlen26%
Vendég győzelem37%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem37% selection probability
Projected score2–2Dunav RuseLokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Expected goals3.35Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett65% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
36% / 26% / 37%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Dupla esély1273.5%1.36
Felett 65% · Alatt 35%Goals 2.5Felett65%1.54
Igen 66% · Nem 34%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen66%1.52
3.35 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–2
9.4 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Dunav Ruse win36%2.78
Döntetlen26%3.85
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dunav Ruse1.65

Hazai share of expected goals 49.3%

Total expected goals3.35Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 65% · Alatt 35%

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia1.70

Vendég share of expected goals 50.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitIgen 66% · Nem 34%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Dunav Ruse

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontok3

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

0.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontok2

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Nyert probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
2
1.65
Expected goals
1.70
Dunav RuseLokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dunav Ruse signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dunav Ruse nyer 36%,Döntetlen 26%,Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia nyer 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · 2.5 felett 65% · Current selection Felett