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BGR Bulgária - 1.ª Liga · Partida ·

Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–23.35 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa36%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante37%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante37% selection probability
Projected score2–2Dunav RuseLokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Expected goals3.35Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima65% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
36% / 26% / 37%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Dupla Chance1273.5%1.36
Acima 65% · Abaixo 35%Goals 2.5Acima65%1.54
Sim 66% · Não 34%Ambas as equipes marcamSim66%1.52
3.35 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–2
9.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Dunav Ruse win36%2.78
Empate26%3.85
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dunav Ruse1.65

Mandante share of expected goals 49.3%

Total expected goals3.35Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 65% · Abaixo 35%

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia1.70

Visitante share of expected goals 50.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitSim 66% · Não 34%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Dunav Ruse

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontos3

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

0.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontos2

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
2
1.65
Expected goals
1.70
Dunav RuseLokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dunav Ruse signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Dunav Ruse vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dunav Ruse ganhou 36%,Empate 26%,Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia ganhou 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · Acima 2.5 65% · Current selection Acima