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BGR България - Първа Лига · Мач ·

Дунав Русе vs Локомотив София

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–23.35 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина36%
Равен26%
Победа за госта37%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта37% selection probability
Projected score2–2Дунав РусеЛокомотив София
Expected goals3.35Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над65% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
36% / 26% / 37%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Двоен шанс1273.5%1.36
Над 65% · Под 35%Goals 2.5Над65%1.54
Да 66% · Не 34%И двата отбора да отбележатДа66%1.52
3.35 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–2
9.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Дунав Русе win36%2.78
Равен26%3.85
Локомотив София win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Дунав Русе1.65

Домакин share of expected goals 49.3%

Total expected goals3.35Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 65% · Под 35%

Локомотив София1.70

Гост share of expected goals 50.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 66% · Не 34%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Дунав Русе

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Локомотив София

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
2
1.65
Expected goals
1.70
Дунав РусеЛокомотив София
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Дунав Русе signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Локомотив София signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Дунав Русе vs Локомотив София FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Дунав Русе печеливш 36%,Равен 26%,Локомотив София печеливш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · Над 2.5 65% · Current selection Над