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BGR Болгария - Первая лига · Матч ·

Дунав Русе vs Локомотив 1929 София

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–23.35 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев36%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей37%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей37% selection probability
Projected score2–2Дунав РусеЛокомотив 1929 София
Expected goals3.35Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше65% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
36% / 26% / 37%Исход матчаПобеда гостей37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Двойной шанс1273.5%1.36
Больше 65% · Меньше 35%Goals 2.5Больше65%1.54
Да 66% · Нет 34%Обе забьютДа66%1.52
3.35 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–2
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Дунав Русе win36%2.78
Ничья26%3.85
Локомотив 1929 София win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Дунав Русе1.65

Хозяева share of expected goals 49.3%

Total expected goals3.35Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 65% · Меньше 35%

Локомотив 1929 София1.70

Гости share of expected goals 50.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 66% · Нет 34%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Дунав Русе

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Локомотив 1929 София

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
2
1.65
Expected goals
1.70
Дунав РусеЛокомотив 1929 София
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Дунав Русе signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Локомотив 1929 София signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Дунав Русе vs Локомотив 1929 София FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Дунав Русе выигрыш 36%,Ничья 26%,Локомотив 1929 София выигрыш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · ТБ 2.5 65% · Current selection Больше