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BGR ブルガリア ファーストリーグ · 試合 ·

アルダ・クルジャリ vs ボテフヴラツァ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.89 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利44%
引き分け32%
アウェイ勝利23%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利44% selection probability
Projected score1–1アルダ・クルジャリボテフヴラツァ
Expected goals1.89Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー71% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
44% / 32% / 23%試合結果ホーム勝利44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ボテフヴラツァ win (23.4%)ダブルチャンス1X76.6%1.31
オーバー 29% · アンダー 71%Goals 2.5アンダー71%1.41
はい 35% · いいえ 65%両チーム得点いいえ65%1.54
1.89 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
アルダ・クルジャリ win44%2.27
引き分け32%3.13
ボテフヴラツァ win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アルダ・クルジャリ1.23

ホーム share of expected goals 65.1%

Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 29% · アンダー 71%

ボテフヴラツァ0.66

アウェイ share of expected goals 34.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 35% · いいえ 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アルダ・クルジャリ

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ボテフヴラツァ

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
勝ち probability excluding draw
23%
12
Points from supplied form
3
1.23
Expected goals
0.66
アルダ・クルジャリボテフヴラツァ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アルダ・クルジャリ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ボテフヴラツァ signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

アルダ・クルジャリ vs ボテフヴラツァ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アルダ・クルジャリ 勝ち 44%,引き分け 32%,ボテフヴラツァ 勝ち 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.89 · オーバー 2.5 29% · Current selection アンダー