MatchFormula Leia mäng
Menu
UTC+8
AjavööndAsia/Shanghai
Eesti
BGR Bulgaaria kõrgliiga · Mäng ·

Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–11.89 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit44%
Viik32%
Võõrsilvõit23%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Arda KardzhaliBotev Vratsa
Expected goals1.89Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla71% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
44% / 32% / 23%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botev Vratsa win (23.4%)Topeltvõimalus1X76.6%1.31
Üle 29% · Alla 71%Goals 2.5Alla71%1.41
Jah 35% · Ei 65%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi65%1.54
1.89 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
8.4 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Arda Kardzhali win44%2.27
Viik32%3.13
Botev Vratsa win23%4.35

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arda Kardzhali1.23

Kodu share of expected goals 65.1%

Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 29% · Alla 71%

Botev Vratsa0.66

Võõras share of expected goals 34.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 35% · Ei 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Arda Kardzhali

2.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punktid12

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Botev Vratsa

0.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punktid3

SignalKodu clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Võit probability excluding draw
23%
12
Points from supplied form
3
1.23
Expected goals
0.66
Arda KardzhaliBotev Vratsa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arda Kardzhali signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botev Vratsa signalKodu clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arda Kardzhali võit 44%,Viik 32%,Botev Vratsa võit 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.89 · Üle 2.5 29% · Current selection Alla