Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 32% / 23%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botev Vratsa win (23.4%)Double chance1X76.6%1.31
Over 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
1.89 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Arda Kardzhali win44%2.27
Draw32%3.13
Botev Vratsa win23%4.35
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 65.1%
Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 29% · Under 71%
Away share of expected goals 34.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchArda Kardzhali
WWWLW
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchBotev Vratsa
WLLLL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Win probability excluding draw
23%12
Points from supplied form
31.23
Expected goals
0.66Arda KardzhaliBotev Vratsa
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 32%.
Match questions
Arda Kardzhali vs Botev Vratsa FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Arda Kardzhali win 44%，Draw 32%，Botev Vratsa win 23%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.89 · Over 2.5 29% · Current selection Under。