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ESP 西班牙甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

巴塞羅那 vs 華力簡奴

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score3–13.18 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝67%
21%
客勝12%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝67% selection probability
Projected score3–1巴塞羅那華力簡奴
Expected goals3.18初盤 match profile
Goals 2.562% for the selected side
雙方進球57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
67% / 21% / 12%比賽結果主勝67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 華力簡奴 win (12.4%)雙重機會1X87.6%1.14
大 62% · 小 38%Goals 2.562%1.61
是 43% · 否 57%雙方進球57%1.75
3.18 total expected goals正確比分3–1
10.3 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
巴塞羅那 win67%1.49
21%4.76
華力簡奴 win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

巴塞羅那2.56

主隊 share of expected goals 80.5%

Total expected goals3.18初盤

Dedicated goals model: 62% · 38%

華力簡奴0.62

客隊 share of expected goals 19.5%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 43% · 57%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

巴塞羅那

1.80pts / match
5Wins3Drawn0Losses2積分9

Signal主隊 won 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

華力簡奴

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
贏 probability excluding draw
12%
9
Points from supplied form
7
2.56
Expected goals
0.62
巴塞羅那華力簡奴
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01巴塞羅那 signal主隊 won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02華力簡奴 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

巴塞羅那 vs 華力簡奴 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

巴塞羅那 67%, 21%,華力簡奴 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · 大2.5 62% · Current selection