MatchFormula Намери мач
Menu
UTC+8
Часова зонаAsia/Shanghai
Български
ESP Испания - Ла Лига · Мач ·

Барселона vs Райо Валекано

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score3–13.18 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина67%
Равен21%
Победа за госта12%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина67% selection probability
Projected score3–1БарселонаРайо Валекано
Expected goals3.18Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над62% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
67% / 21% / 12%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Райо Валекано win (12.4%)Двоен шанс1X87.6%1.14
Над 62% · Под 38%Goals 2.5Над62%1.61
Да 43% · Не 57%И двата отбора да отбележатНе57%1.75
3.18 total expected goalsТочен резултат3–1
10.3 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Барселона win67%1.49
Равен21%4.76
Райо Валекано win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Барселона2.56

Домакин share of expected goals 80.5%

Total expected goals3.18Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 62% · Под 38%

Райо Валекано0.62

Гост share of expected goals 19.5%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 43% · Не 57%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Барселона

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин won 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Райо Валекано

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
12%
9
Points from supplied form
7
2.56
Expected goals
0.62
БарселонаРайо Валекано
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Барселона signalДомакин won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Райо Валекано signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Барселона vs Райо Валекано FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Барселона печеливш 67%,Равен 21%,Райо Валекано печеливш 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Над 2.5 62% · Current selection Над