Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
58% / 20% / 22%Match resultHome win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.3%)Double chance1279.7%1.25
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 41% · No 59%Both teams scoreNo59%1.69
3.10 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapLogan Lightning winDifference+2.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Logan Lightning win58%1.721.6255.2%+2.8 pp
Draw20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
St George Willawong FC win22%4.553.7024.2%-2.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 80.6%
Total expected goals3.10Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%
Away share of expected goals 19.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 41% · No 59%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchLogan Lightning
DWLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchSt George Willawong FC
LWLWW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 2/4 recent home matches
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
58%
Win probability excluding draw
22%7
Points from supplied form
92.50
Expected goals
0.60Logan LightningSt George Willawong FC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.
Match questions
Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Logan Lightning win 58%，Draw 20%，St George Willawong FC win 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.10 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over。