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AUS Australia - Queensland - Premier League · Round 20 ·

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.10 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde58%
Egal20%
Victorie oaspeți22%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Logan LightningSt George Willawong FC
Expected goals3.10Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste60% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
58% / 20% / 22%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.3%)Șansă dublă1279.7%1.25
Peste 60% · Sub 40%Goals 2.5Peste60%1.67
Da 41% · Nu 59%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu59%1.69
3.10 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapLogan Lightning winDifference+2.8 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Logan Lightning win58%1.721.6255.2%+2.8 pp
Egal20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
St George Willawong FC win22%4.553.7024.2%-2.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Logan Lightning2.50

Gazde share of expected goals 80.6%

Total expected goals3.10Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 60% · Sub 40%

St George Willawong FC0.60

Oaspeți share of expected goals 19.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 41% · Nu 59%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Logan Lightning

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

St George Willawong FC

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Câștig probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
9
2.50
Expected goals
0.60
Logan LightningSt George Willawong FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Logan Lightning signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St George Willawong FC signalGazde won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Logan Lightning câștig 58%,Egal 20%,St George Willawong FC câștig 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Peste 2.5 60% · Current selection Peste