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AUS Australien - Queensland Premier League · Round 20 ·

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.10 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger58%
Oavgjort20%
Bortaseger22%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Logan LightningSt George Willawong FC
Expected goals3.10Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över60% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
58% / 20% / 22%MatchresultatHemmaseger58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.3%)Dubbelchans1279.7%1.25
Över 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Över60%1.67
Ja 41% · Nej 59%Båda lagen gör målNej59%1.69
3.10 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.9 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapLogan Lightning winDifference+2.8 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Logan Lightning win58%1.721.6255.2%+2.8 pp
Oavgjort20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
St George Willawong FC win22%4.553.7024.2%-2.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Logan Lightning2.50

Hemma share of expected goals 80.6%

Total expected goals3.10Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 60% · Under 40%

St George Willawong FC0.60

Borta share of expected goals 19.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nej 59%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Logan Lightning

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

St George Willawong FC

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
9
2.50
Expected goals
0.60
Logan LightningSt George Willawong FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Logan Lightning signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St George Willawong FC signalHemma won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Logan Lightning vunnen 58%,Oavgjort 20%,St George Willawong FC vunnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Över 2.5 60% · Current selection Över