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AUS オーストラリア FQPL · Round 20 ·

ローガン・ライトニング vs セント・ジョージ・ウィラウォンFC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.10 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利58%
引き分け20%
アウェイ勝利22%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利58% selection probability
Projected score2–1ローガン・ライトニングセント・ジョージ・ウィラウォンFC
Expected goals3.10始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー60% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
58% / 20% / 22%試合結果ホーム勝利58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.3%)ダブルチャンス1279.7%1.25
オーバー 60% · アンダー 40%Goals 2.5オーバー60%1.67
はい 41% · いいえ 59%両チーム得点いいえ59%1.69
3.10 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.9 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapローガン・ライトニング winDifference+2.8 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ローガン・ライトニング win58%1.721.6255.2%+2.8 pp
引き分け20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
セント・ジョージ・ウィラウォンFC win22%4.553.7024.2%-2.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ローガン・ライトニング2.50

ホーム share of expected goals 80.6%

Total expected goals3.10始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 60% · アンダー 40%

セント・ジョージ・ウィラウォンFC0.60

アウェイ share of expected goals 19.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 41% · いいえ 59%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ローガン・ライトニング

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

セント・ジョージ・ウィラウォンFC

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
勝ち probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
9
2.50
Expected goals
0.60
ローガン・ライトニングセント・ジョージ・ウィラウォンFC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ローガン・ライトニング signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02セント・ジョージ・ウィラウォンFC signalホーム won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

ローガン・ライトニング vs セント・ジョージ・ウィラウォンFC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ローガン・ライトニング 勝ち 58%,引き分け 20%,セント・ジョージ・ウィラウォンFC 勝ち 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · オーバー 2.5 60% · Current selection オーバー