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AUS Australia - Queensland - Premier League · Round 20 ·

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.10 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local58%
Empate20%
Victoria visitante22%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Logan LightningSt George Willawong FC
Expected goals3.10Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de60% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
58% / 20% / 22%Resultado del partidoVictoria local58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.3%)Doble Oportunidad1279.7%1.25
Más de 60% · Menos de 40%Goals 2.5Más de60%1.67
Sí 41% · No 59%Ambos equipos marcanNo59%1.69
3.10 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapLogan Lightning winDifference+2.8 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Logan Lightning win58%1.721.6255.2%+2.8 pp
Empate20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
St George Willawong FC win22%4.553.7024.2%-2.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Logan Lightning2.50

Local share of expected goals 80.6%

Total expected goals3.10Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 60% · Menos de 40%

St George Willawong FC0.60

Visitante share of expected goals 19.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 41% · No 59%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Logan Lightning

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

St George Willawong FC

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Ganado probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
9
2.50
Expected goals
0.60
Logan LightningSt George Willawong FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Logan Lightning signalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St George Willawong FC signalLocal won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Logan Lightning ganada 58%,Empate 20%,St George Willawong FC ganada 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Más de 2.5 60% · Current selection Más de