MatchFormula Trouver un match
Menu
UTC+8
Fuseau horaireAsia/Shanghai
Français
AUS Australie - Queensland Premier League · Round 20 ·

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.10 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile58%
Nul20%
Victoire à l’extérieur22%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Logan LightningSt George Willawong FC
Expected goals3.10Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de60% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
58% / 20% / 22%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.3%)Double chance1279.7%1.25
Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%Goals 2.5Plus de60%1.67
Oui 41% · Non 59%Les deux équipes marquentNon59%1.69
3.10 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapLogan Lightning winDifference+2.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Logan Lightning win58%1.721.6255.2%+2.8 pp
Nul20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
St George Willawong FC win22%4.553.7024.2%-2.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Logan Lightning2.50

Domicile share of expected goals 80.6%

Total expected goals3.10Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%

St George Willawong FC0.60

Extérieur share of expected goals 19.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 41% · Non 59%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Logan Lightning

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

St George Willawong FC

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gagné probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
9
2.50
Expected goals
0.60
Logan LightningSt George Willawong FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Logan Lightning signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St George Willawong FC signalDomicile won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Logan Lightning victoire 58%,Nul 20%,St George Willawong FC victoire 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Plus de 2.5 60% · Current selection Plus de