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AUS Australie - Queensland Premier League · Round 20 ·

Caboolture FC vs Holland Park Hawks

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–24.30 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile53%
Nul21%
Victoire à l’extérieur27%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile53% selection probability
Projected score2–2Caboolture FCHolland Park Hawks
Expected goals4.30Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de80% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui77% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
53% / 21% / 27%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.6%)Double chance1279.4%1.26
Plus de 80% · Moins de 20%Goals 2.5Plus de80%1.25
Oui 77% · Non 23%Les deux équipes marquentOui77%1.30
4.30 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
9.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapHolland Park Hawks winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caboolture FC win53%1.891.7052.8%+0.2 pp
Nul21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp
Holland Park Hawks win27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caboolture FC2.45

Domicile share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals4.30Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 80% · Moins de 20%

Holland Park Hawks1.85

Extérieur share of expected goals 43%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 77% · Non 23%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Caboolture FC

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Holland Park Hawks

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gagné probability excluding draw
27%
5
Points from supplied form
5
2.45
Expected goals
1.85
Caboolture FCHolland Park Hawks
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caboolture FC signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Holland Park Hawks signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Caboolture FC vs Holland Park Hawks FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caboolture FC victoire 53%,Nul 21%,Holland Park Hawks victoire 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.30 · Plus de 2.5 80% · Current selection Plus de