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AUS Australia Queensland Premier League · Round 20 ·

Caboolture FC vs Holland Park Hawks

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–24.30 expected goals
Away form
Home win53%
Draw21%
Away win27%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win53% selection probability
Projected score2–2Caboolture FCHolland Park Hawks
Expected goals4.30Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over80% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes77% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 21% / 27%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.6%)Double chance1279.4%1.26
Over 80% · Under 20%Goals 2.5Over80%1.25
Yes 77% · No 23%Both teams scoreYes77%1.30
4.30 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapHolland Park Hawks winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caboolture FC win53%1.891.7052.8%+0.2 pp
Draw21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp
Holland Park Hawks win27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caboolture FC2.45

Home share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals4.30Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 80% · Under 20%

Holland Park Hawks1.85

Away share of expected goals 43%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 77% · No 23%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Caboolture FC

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Holland Park Hawks

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
5
Points from supplied form
5
2.45
Expected goals
1.85
Caboolture FCHolland Park Hawks
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caboolture FC signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Holland Park Hawks signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Caboolture FC vs Holland Park Hawks FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caboolture FC win 53%,Draw 21%,Holland Park Hawks win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.30 · Over 2.5 80% · Current selection Over