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AUS Australia Queensland Premier League · Round 20 ·

Brisbane Strikers vs Redlands United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–13.40 expected goals
Away form
Home win62%
Draw22%
Away win16%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win62% selection probability
Projected score3–1Brisbane StrikersRedlands United
Expected goals3.40Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
62% / 22% / 16%Match resultHome win62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Redlands United win (16.2%)Double chance1X83.8%1.19
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
3.40 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Brisbane Strikers win62%1.61
Draw22%4.55
Redlands United win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Brisbane Strikers2.54

Home share of expected goals 74.7%

Total expected goals3.40Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%

Redlands United0.86

Away share of expected goals 25.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Brisbane Strikers

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Redlands United

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Win probability excluding draw
16%
15
Points from supplied form
6
2.54
Expected goals
0.86
Brisbane StrikersRedlands United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Brisbane Strikers signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Redlands United signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Brisbane Strikers vs Redlands United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Brisbane Strikers win 62%,Draw 22%,Redlands United win 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.40 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over