MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
AUS Australia Queensland Premier League · Round 20 ·

Ipswich FC vs Capalaba Bulldogs

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–13.30 expected goals
Away form
Home win63%
Draw22%
Away win15%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win63% selection probability
Projected score3–1Ipswich FCCapalaba Bulldogs
Expected goals3.30Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
63% / 22% / 15%Match resultHome win63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Capalaba Bulldogs win (15.4%)Double chance1X84.6%1.18
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
3.30 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Ipswich FC win63%1.59
Draw22%4.55
Capalaba Bulldogs win15%6.67

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ipswich FC2.51

Home share of expected goals 76.1%

Total expected goals3.30Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

Capalaba Bulldogs0.79

Away share of expected goals 23.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Ipswich FC

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Capalaba Bulldogs

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Win probability excluding draw
15%
5
Points from supplied form
4
2.51
Expected goals
0.79
Ipswich FCCapalaba Bulldogs
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ipswich FC signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Capalaba Bulldogs signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Ipswich FC vs Capalaba Bulldogs FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ipswich FC win 63%,Draw 22%,Capalaba Bulldogs win 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over