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AUS Austrália - Queensland - Premier League · Round 20 ·

Ipswich vs Capalaba Bulldogs

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score3–13.30 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa63%
Empate22%
Vitória visitante15%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa63% selection probability
Projected score3–1IpswichCapalaba Bulldogs
Expected goals3.30Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima64% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
63% / 22% / 15%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Capalaba Bulldogs win (15.4%)Dupla Chance1X84.6%1.18
Acima 64% · Abaixo 36%Goals 2.5Acima64%1.56
Sim 50% · Não 50%Ambas as equipes marcamSim50%2.00
3.30 total expected goalsPlacar exato3–1
10.5 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Ipswich win63%1.59
Empate22%4.55
Capalaba Bulldogs win15%6.67

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ipswich2.51

Mandante share of expected goals 76.1%

Total expected goals3.30Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 64% · Abaixo 36%

Capalaba Bulldogs0.79

Visitante share of expected goals 23.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitSim 50% · Não 50%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Ipswich

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Capalaba Bulldogs

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
15%
5
Points from supplied form
4
2.51
Expected goals
0.79
IpswichCapalaba Bulldogs
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ipswich signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Capalaba Bulldogs signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Ipswich vs Capalaba Bulldogs FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ipswich ganhou 63%,Empate 22%,Capalaba Bulldogs ganhou 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Acima 2.5 64% · Current selection Acima