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AUS Australien - Queensland - Premier League · Round 20 ·

Caboolture FC vs Holland Park Hawks

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–24.30 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr45%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr31%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr45% selection probability
Projected score2–2Caboolture FCHolland Park Hawks
Expected goals4.30Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over80% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa77% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
45% / 24% / 31%KampresultatHjemmesejr45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.6%)Dobbeltchance1276.4%1.31
Over 80% · Under 20%Goals 2.5Over80%1.25
Ja 77% · Nej 23%Begge hold scorerJa77%1.30
4.30 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
9.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Caboolture FC win45%2.22
Uafgjort24%4.17
Holland Park Hawks win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caboolture FC2.45

Hjemme share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals4.30Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 80% · Under 20%

Holland Park Hawks1.85

Ude share of expected goals 43%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 77% · Nej 23%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Caboolture FC

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Holland Park Hawks

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalUde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vundet probability excluding draw
31%
5
Points from supplied form
5
2.45
Expected goals
1.85
Caboolture FCHolland Park Hawks
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caboolture FC signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Holland Park Hawks signalUde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Caboolture FC vs Holland Park Hawks FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caboolture FC vundet 45%,Uafgjort 24%,Holland Park Hawks vundet 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.30 · Over 2.5 80% · Current selection Over