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AUS Австралия - Куинсланд Висша Лига · Round 20 ·

Логан Лайтинг vs Ст Джордж Уилауонг ФК

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.10 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина58%
Равен20%
Победа за госта22%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Логан ЛайтингСт Джордж Уилауонг ФК
Expected goals3.10Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над60% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
58% / 20% / 22%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.3%)Двоен шанс1279.7%1.25
Над 60% · Под 40%Goals 2.5Над60%1.67
Да 41% · Не 59%И двата отбора да отбележатНе59%1.69
3.10 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.9 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapЛоган Лайтинг winDifference+2.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Логан Лайтинг win58%1.721.6255.2%+2.8 pp
Равен20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
Ст Джордж Уилауонг ФК win22%4.553.7024.2%-2.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Логан Лайтинг2.50

Домакин share of expected goals 80.6%

Total expected goals3.10Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 60% · Под 40%

Ст Джордж Уилауонг ФК0.60

Гост share of expected goals 19.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 41% · Не 59%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Логан Лайтинг

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Ст Джордж Уилауонг ФК

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
9
2.50
Expected goals
0.60
Логан ЛайтингСт Джордж Уилауонг ФК
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Логан Лайтинг signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ст Джордж Уилауонг ФК signalДомакин won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Логан Лайтинг vs Ст Джордж Уилауонг ФК FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Логан Лайтинг печеливш 58%,Равен 20%,Ст Джордж Уилауонг ФК печеливш 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Над 2.5 60% · Current selection Над