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AUS Austrálie - Queensland - Premier League · Round 20 ·

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–13.10 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích58%
Remíza20%
Výhra hostů22%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Logan LightningSt George Willawong FC
Expected goals3.10Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více60% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
58% / 20% / 22%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.3%)Dvojitá šance1279.7%1.25
Více 60% · Méně 40%Goals 2.5Více60%1.67
Ano 41% · Ne 59%Oba týmy skórujíNe59%1.69
3.10 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
8.9 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapLogan Lightning winDifference+2.8 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Logan Lightning win58%1.721.6255.2%+2.8 pp
Remíza20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
St George Willawong FC win22%4.553.7024.2%-2.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Logan Lightning2.50

Domácí share of expected goals 80.6%

Total expected goals3.10Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 60% · Méně 40%

St George Willawong FC0.60

Hosté share of expected goals 19.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 41% · Ne 59%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Logan Lightning

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

St George Willawong FC

1.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomácí won 2/4 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Výhra probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
9
2.50
Expected goals
0.60
Logan LightningSt George Willawong FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Logan Lightning signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St George Willawong FC signalDomácí won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Logan Lightning výhra 58%,Remíza 20%,St George Willawong FC výhra 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Více 2.5 60% · Current selection Více