Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 24% / 21%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ballymena Utd win (21.1%)Double chance1X78.9%1.27
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.50 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapLinfield winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Linfield win55%1.821.7053.4%+1.6 pp
Draw24%4.173.7024.5%-0.5 pp
Ballymena Utd win21%4.764.1022.1%-1.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 74.8%
Total expected goals2.50Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%
Away share of expected goals 25.2%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchLinfield
WLLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchBallymena Utd
LLDDW
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Win probability excluding draw
21%6
Points from supplied form
51.87
Expected goals
0.63LinfieldBallymena Utd
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Linfield vs Ballymena Utd FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Linfield win 55%，Draw 24%，Ballymena Utd win 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.50 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under。