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NIR Irlanda del Norte - NIFL Premiership · Round 1 ·

Linfield vs Ballymena Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.50 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local55%
Empate24%
Victoria visitante21%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local55% selection probability
Projected score2–1LinfieldBallymena Utd
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de54% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
55% / 24% / 21%Resultado del partidoVictoria local55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ballymena Utd win (21.1%)Doble Oportunidad1X78.9%1.27
Más de 46% · Menos de 54%Goals 2.5Menos de54%1.85
Sí 40% · No 60%Ambos equipos marcanNo60%1.67
2.50 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapLinfield winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Linfield win55%1.821.7053.4%+1.6 pp
Empate24%4.173.7024.5%-0.5 pp
Ballymena Utd win21%4.764.1022.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Linfield1.87

Local share of expected goals 74.8%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 46% · Menos de 54%

Ballymena Utd0.63

Visitante share of expected goals 25.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 40% · No 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Linfield

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Ballymena Utd

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Ganado probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.87
Expected goals
0.63
LinfieldBallymena Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Linfield signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ballymena Utd signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Linfield vs Ballymena Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Linfield ganada 55%,Empate 24%,Ballymena Utd ganada 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Más de 2.5 46% · Current selection Menos de