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NIR Northern Ireland Premier · Round 1 ·

Linfield vs Ballymena Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.50 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır55%
Beraberlik24%
Deplasman kazanır21%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır55% selection probability
Projected score2–1LinfieldBallymena Utd
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt54% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
55% / 24% / 21%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ballymena Utd win (21.1%)Çifte Şans1X78.9%1.27
Üst 46% · Alt 54%Goals 2.5Alt54%1.85
Evet 40% · Hayır 60%Karşılıklı gol varHayır60%1.67
2.50 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.5 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapLinfield winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Linfield win55%1.821.7053.4%+1.6 pp
Beraberlik24%4.173.7024.5%-0.5 pp
Ballymena Utd win21%4.764.1022.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Linfield1.87

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 74.8%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 46% · Alt 54%

Ballymena Utd0.63

Deplasman share of expected goals 25.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 40% · Hayır 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Linfield

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Ballymena Utd

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.87
Expected goals
0.63
LinfieldBallymena Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Linfield signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ballymena Utd signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Linfield vs Ballymena Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Linfield kazanç 55%,Beraberlik 24%,Ballymena Utd kazanç 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · 2.5 Üst 46% · Current selection Alt