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NIR Irlandia Północna - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Linfield vs Ballymena Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.50 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy55%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości21%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy55% selection probability
Projected score2–1LinfieldBallymena Utd
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej54% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
55% / 24% / 21%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ballymena Utd win (21.1%)Podwójna szansa1X78.9%1.27
Powyżej 46% · Poniżej 54%Goals 2.5Poniżej54%1.85
Tak 40% · Nie 60%Obie drużyny strzeląNie60%1.67
2.50 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.5 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapLinfield winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Linfield win55%1.821.7053.4%+1.6 pp
Remis24%4.173.7024.5%-0.5 pp
Ballymena Utd win21%4.764.1022.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Linfield1.87

Gospodarze share of expected goals 74.8%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 46% · Poniżej 54%

Ballymena Utd0.63

Goście share of expected goals 25.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 40% · Nie 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Linfield

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Ballymena Utd

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.87
Expected goals
0.63
LinfieldBallymena Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Linfield signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ballymena Utd signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Linfield vs Ballymena Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Linfield wygrana 55%,Remis 24%,Ballymena Utd wygrana 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Powyżej 2.5 46% · Current selection Poniżej